By: Daniel Kim
The first race of the season has come and gone, but the bookies must surely still be just as confused as the average punter when it comes to wagering on this year’s F1 action.
I’m fairly certain had Lewis Hamilton not suffered mechanical failure he would have gone on to take victory in Melbourne. No discredit to Nico who had an awesome race, but Lewis is obviously the #1 man at Mercedes despite his early season setback.
Rosberg’s 2014 maiden victory has definitely evened up the playing field in terms of odds to win the 2014 Malaysian Grand Prix outright. For next weekend’s race in Kuala Lumpur Nico and Lewis are laying the same odds at +200 (You can get +225 on Nico at a few books like William Hill and betfair).
Again it’s extremely tempting to take either of the two Mercedes drivers at plus odds but I still think there’s value in looking at those outside the AMG Petronas team. Maybe that’s why I’m a losing gambler!
Ron Dennis and McLaren are very high on their new hot-shoe Kevin Magnussen – and understandably so given his immense debut in Australia last weekend. With McLaren-Mercedes currently leading the Constructors Championship why not take a shot at Button at +1400 or Magnussen at a mouth-watering +2000? (Betvictor).
Not as many of the Renault-powered cars retired as I thought might, but I’m still staying away. Even if they do manage to survive the race, it’s clear the Renault does not have as much power as the Mercedes unit and probably less than the Ferrari powertrain as well.
The safe bet to probably split your wagers between Nico and Lewis, but I’m going to employ a slightly wackier, more entertaining strategy. I propose to put small wagers on both McLarens, both William-Martinis, Fernando Alonso, and both Red Bull’s (I know I said don’t trust the Renault powered cars but I believe RBR will come back very strong for Round 2 in Malaysia).